The Weekly Planner – 5/1-5/7

For the past five-plus years, I’ve contributed The Week Ahead and Impact Report at Rotoworld. Those articles included a look at two-start pitchers, streamers, waiver pickups, and injuries. Many readers planned their week and FAAB deadlines around those articles, so my plan is to contribute something similar weekly throughout the 2023 season in this space.

If there’s something else you’d like to see, please let me know in the comments section.

 

Two Start Pitchers

American League

Strong Plays

Shane McClanahan: PIT, NYY

Joe Ryan: @CHW, @CLE

Logan Gilbert: @OAK, HOU

Yusei Kikuchi: @BOS, @PIT

Jose Berrios: @BOS, @PIT

 

Decent Plays

Luis Garcia: SF, @SEA

Jon Gray: ARI, @LAA

Tyler Wells: @KC, @ATL

Tanner Houck: TOR, @PHI

Corey Kluber: TOR, @PHI

Domingo German: CLE, @TB

Zack Greinke: BAL, OAK

 

At Your Own Risk

Michael Kopech: MIN, @CIN

Michael Lorenzen: NYM, @STL

 

National League

Strong Plays

Zac Gallen: @TEX, WAS

Max Scherzer: @DET, COL

Sandy Alcantara: ATL, @CHC

Drew Smyly: @WAS, MIA

 

Decent Plays

Charlie Morton: @NYM, BAL

Hayden Wesneski: @WAS, MIA

MacKenzie Gore: ChC, @ARI

Roansy Contreras: @TB, TOR

Blake Snell: CIN, LAD

Steven Matz: LAA, DET

Ross Stripling: @HOU, MIL

 

At Your Own Risk

Taijuan Walker: @LAD, BOS

Eric Lauer: @COL, @SF

Luke Weaver: @SD, CHW

Ryan Feltner: MIL, @NYM

 

Streamers

These are pitchers I’m considering as single-start streamers this week in a 12-15 team mixed league that are available in at least 50% of leagues.

American League

Ryan Yarbrough: OAK (5/6)

Ken Waldichuk: @KC (5/7)

 

National League

Michael Wacha: CIN (5/2)

Ryne Nelson: WAS (5/6)

Joey Lucchesi: COL (5/6)

 

Player Notes

  • This is a big week for pitching pickups with arms like Bailey Ober and Tanner Bibee earning rotation spots, while Dodgers top prospect Gavin Stone is also set to make his debut on Wednesday. As mentioned last week, I strongly believe Ober and Bibee are more worthy of big bids than Mason Miller was last week due to a higher innings cap and more competitive teams. Bibee was my favorite pitching prospect in all of baseball coming into the year (as evidenced by my 70%+ ownership share in NFBC Draft Champions leagues), as much for his great stuff as for his polish. Simply put, you won’t find many minor league pitchers with a career K/BB ratio above 5.00, and that ratio was actually above 6.00 last season. Bibee has also been relatively durable, including 132.2 innings last season, so he should have some leeway to pitch major innings with Cleveland this year. Even when Triston McKenzie returns, the Guardians should be able to make room for Bibee in the starting rotation with the way Zach Plesac has struggled. Bibee is the closest thing you will find to a Spencer Strider addition in 2023, and I’d be aggressive in FAAB bidding.
  • Ober can be a good fallback option with Kenta Maeda going down with more arm issues. The reported Spring velocity increase hasn’t held early in his MLB numbers, but Ober has been excellent in two starts, nonetheless. I’m a big Ober fan because of his elite control, with a career BB/9 below 2.0, and he also proved last season that he could keep the ball in the park. It’s often difficult for tall pitchers like Ober to show consistency due to mechanical issues, but Ober hasn’t shown any issues in his career.
  • Another fallback option with long-term upside is Dane Dunning, who is the assumed replacement for Jacob deGrom in the Rangers rotation. Those fantasy managers who bought into the Dunning Experience last season will likely shy away, but it should be noted that he pitched hurt with a hip injury that was surgically repaired in the offseason. The previous two seasons showed breakout potential with a sub-4.00 FIP in his first two MLB seasons and well above average groundball rates. Dunning hasn’t been missing bats early this season as a reliever, throwing his cutter more often, though that’s also over a small sample size of innings. Dunning might not earn a start in the coming week with Texas looking at two off-days, but I like the potential as a stash.
  • There’s some hype over the promotion of Rockies outfielder Brenton Doyle. While Doyle is athletically gifted and strong defensively, I find the hype to be puzzling. Doyle was barely on the prospect radar before this season in large park to his high strikeout rate, including 171 strikeouts in 548 plate appearances last season. He was also a 20/20 man during that time, but Doyle has shown very poor on-base ability. He did hit .306 in 12 games at Triple-A prior to the call-up this year, but Doyle is already 25 and the longer track record shows that performance to be a fluke. He has a path to playing time, though it should be remembered how hesitant Bud Black and the Rockies organization are to give young players opportunities over the years (Elehuris Montero, cough, cough).
  • The Cardinals are riding the hot hand in their lineup with Paul DeJong becoming a regular since his promotion to the majors. Before getting ahead of ourselves, remember that DeJong is a historically streaky hitter. We only need to look to his promotion in late July of last year for proof. DeJong hit .333-4-13 in his first 10 games. He hit .120-1-5 the rest of the way (43 games). If you’re rostering Tommy Edman and worried, I wouldn’t be too scared.

Fantasy Baseball Shortstop Rankings 2023

Updated 01/21/23

Rankings based on 15-team mixed, standard roto-scoring leagues.

Rating: 1-5, 5 is likely improvement, 1 is likely decline

Status: Sleeper (S), Deep Sleeper (DS), Bust (B)

RankNameLgTeamPosCommentsRatingStatus
1Trea TurnerNPHISSDurable in four of five years. No big changes. Led league in PA. Would expect speed to decline soon.3
2Bobby WittAKCRSSExtreme LA and elite speed. Worst in second half. Finished year hitting second.3
3Bo BichetteATORSSStreaky, hit .406-7-27 in September. EV and HH% were up. Mediocre speed makes 2021 SB a fluke.3
4Fernando Tatis JR.NSDPSS
5Amed RosarioACLESSCut K%, elite speed. Slow starter again. Hit 2nd, lineup spot really matters.3
6Tim AndersonACHWSSCut K% sharply, but power also down. Missed time with groin and thumb.3
7Francisco LindorNNYMSSK% remained up and speed is in decline.2
8Xander BogaertsNSDPSSHR% worst since 2017, power returned late. EV down significantly but played through injury.3
9Oneil CruzNPITSSElite EV and speed. 34% K, huge September. High-risk, high-reward.3
10Ezequiel TovarNCOLSSBreakout at AA, clear 20/20 ability. Could be favorable price.3S
11Wander FrancoATBRSS10% K, chronic injuries but looked great in April and September.3
12Dansby SwansonNCHCSSSuper durable in three consecutive years. HR% about the same for three years. EV was up. Price is solely for PT.3
13Nico HoernerNCHCSSK% down to 11%, increased LA. Struggled in second half. Has probably reached ceiling unless he's promoted in lineup.3
14Willy AdamesNMILSSFB% from 2021 held. Showing strong growth. XBA in line with real.3
15Corey SeagerATEXSSSecond best HR% of career. .283 xBA. Slowed a bit in second half.3
16Jeremy PenaAHOUSSSmashed LHP, hot in September and playoffs. Elite speed.3
17Carlos CorreaAMINSSAlmost no change, BA was a fluke.3
18CJ AbramsNWSNSSAwful walk rate, didn't improve in WAS. Ended year hitting 2nd and 91 speed.3
19Jorge MateoABALSSHigh LA and elite speed. Defense could keep him as starter.3
20Javier BaezADETSSSecond best K% of career. Better in second half but still not great, EV well down. Speed down. Clear decline.3
21Elvis AndrusAFASSPower rebound with White Sox, increased LA. Speed has tanked.3
22Ha-Seong KimNSDPSSHigh LA, made progress in second half. Still not a regular.3
23Isiah Kiner-FalefaANYYSS14% K, showed some pop in September.3
24J.P. CrawfordASEASS13% K but horrendous EV. Demoted in lineup late in year.3
25Royce LewisAMINSSSecond torn ACL, very impressive when he played.4
26Brandon CrawfordNSFGSSFought knee problem, no sign of 2021 numbers.2
27Adalberto MondesiAKCRSSTorn ACL, speed already tanked.2
28Jose IglesiasNFASSHit better on the road than at Coors. Still strong contact.3
29Oswald PerazaANYYSSSome pop and elite speed. Didn't hit the ball hard, and BA has been mediocre.3
30Anthony VolpeANYYSS
31Miguel RojasNLADSSEv bad in b2b years but making contact.3
32Brice TurangNMILSS
33Dylan MooreASEASSSB skills better than actual speed, 29% K.3
34Kyle FarmerAMINSSSlammed LHP, likely to be his role.3
35Ryan KreidlerADETSSHas some pop and speed.3
36Elly De La CruzNCINSS
37Mauricio DubonAHOUSSMuch improved K% but didn't hit RHP. Somewhat interesting.3
38Jordan WestburgABALSS
39Alan TrejoNCOLSSSome pop but nothing else.3
40Nick AhmedNARISSShoulder surgery in June. Was terrible in 2021.2
41Edmundo SosaNPHISS
42Jose RodriguezACHWSS
43Jose BarreroNCINSS44% K, fractured hamate bone. 2021 was only showing of upside, but was good enough to be worthy flier.3
44Garrett HampsonNMIASSOnly hit LHP.3
45Maikel GarciaAKCRSSGood speed and has hit for BA. Interesting stash.3
46David HamiltonABOSSS
47Geraldo PerdomoNARISSGood defense and speed. Can't hit.2
48Blaze AlexanderNARISS
49Otto LopezATORSSSolid BA and can run.3
50Austin MartinAMINSS
51Zach NetoALAASS
52Danny MendickNNYMSS
53Masyn WinnNSTLSS
54Paul DeJongNSTLSS33% K worst by far. Looks finished.2
55Brayan RocchioACLESS
56Matt McLainNCINSS
57Liover PegueroNPITSS
58Zack ShortADETSS
59Andrew VelazquezALAASSAll defense and speed. 34% K.2
60Ronny MauricioNNYMSS
61Addison BargerATORSS
62Jordan LawlarNARISS
63Johan CamargoAMINSS
64Joey OrtizABALSS
65Jermaine PalaciosADETSSHas pop and speed. Overmatched initially.3
66Vinny CapraATORSSDisciplined and has hit for BA.3
67Braden ShewmakeNATLSS
68Jacob AmayaNLADSS