The Weekly Planner – 4/24-4/30

For the past five-plus years, I’ve contributed The Week Ahead and Impact Report at Rotoworld. Those articles included a look at two-start pitchers, streamers, waiver pickups, and injuries. Many readers planned their week and FAAB deadlines around those articles, so my plan is to contribute something similar weekly throughout the 2023 season in this space.

If there’s something else you’d like to see, please let me know in the comments section.

 

Two Start Pitchers

American League

Strong Plays

Joe Ryan: NYY, KC

Chris Sale: @BAL, CLE

Sonny Gray: NYY, KC

Nestor Cortes: @MIN, @TEX

Logan Gilbert: @PHI, @TOR

Drew Rasmussen: HOU, @CHW

 

Decent Plays

Kyle Bradish: BOS, @DET

Taj Bradley: HOU, @CHW

Lance Lynn: @TOR, TB

Jose Urquidy: @TB, PHI

Brady Singer: @ARI, @MIN

Nathan Eovaldi: @CIN, NYY

Martin Perez: @CIN, NYY

Matthew Boyd: @MIL, BAL

Brad Keller: @ARI, @MIN

Chris Bassitt: CHW, SEA

 

At Your Own Risk

Jose Suarez: OAK, @MIL

Jhony Brito: @MIN, @TEX

Mike Clevinger: @TOR, TB

Ken Waldichuk: @LAA, CIN

Dean Kremer: BOS, @DET

Spencer Turnbull: @MIL, BAL

 

National League

Strong Plays

Spencer Strider: MIA, @NYM

Nick Lodolo: TEX, @OAK

Justin Steele: SD, @MIA

 

Decent Plays

Sandy Alcantara: @ATL, CHC

Alex Cobb: STL, @SD

Charlie Morton: MIA, @NYM

Jordan Montgomery: @SF, @LAD

Jose Oviedo: LAD, @WAS

Noah Syndergaard: @PIT, STL

Josiah Gray: @NYM, PIT

Edward Cabrera: @ATL, CHC

Bailey Falter: SEA, @HOU

 

At Your Own Risk

Colin Rea: DET, LAA

Tommy Henry: KC, @COL

Austin Gomber: @CLE, ARI

 

Streamers

These are pitchers I’m considering as single-start streamers this week in a 12-15 team mixed league that are available in at least 50% of leagues.

American League

Griffin Canning: OAK (4/25)

 

National League

Ryne Nelson: KC (4/25)

Eric Lauer: DET (4/25)

Steven Matz: @SF (4/26)

Joey Lucchesi: WAS (4/27)

Rich Hill: @WAS (4/28)

 

Player Notes

  • Oakland youngster Mason Miller was the talk of the week, as the suddenly top prospect was promoted by the A’s and had an excellent first outing against the Cubs while hitting triple-digits on the radar gun. It was be an interesting FAAB showdown for his services, with big upside but also some short-term red flags. Miller has only thrown 28.2 minor league innings, due in part to injuries, but he’s been spectacular over that time with 53/6 K/BB in 28.2 innings. The former third-round pick will likely have his innings heavily limited this season due to the injury history and throwing only 14 innings all of last season. He also won’t win many games with a conservative pitch count and a horrific supporting cast in Oakland. Though, the upside is undeniable, especially in keeper leagues. However, for redraft leagues I’d strongly prefer to wait on a Bailey Ober or prospect with a higher innings cap like Tanner Bibee.
  • The other Logan Allen is set to make his MLB debut today, with Cleveland in dire position due to starting rotation injuries. Allen has plenty of minor league season after being drafted in 2020 out of college, and has bounced back nicely in three starts at Triple-A Columbus early this season after struggling in 14 starts last year. Despite his past struggles, Allen has consistently missed bats with an 11.8 K/9 for his pro career and 12.6 K/9 this season, The only big question is how his control will fare, as it’s been far from perfect as he’s moved up (3.5 BB/9 last season, 3.1 BB/9) this year. The lefty also has a short leash with Bibee and a host of other interesting arms waiting in the wings, but there is certainly potential for Allen to be a difference maker this season.
  • He’s far less romantic, but Joey Lucchesi could be an interesting find. The veteran left-hander is back from Tommy John surgery, and threw seven scoreless innings in his start last week. We shouldn’t forget what’s been a pretty solid track record from the soft-tosser, with a career 4.24 ERA and 9.3 K/9 for his career between San Diego and the Mets. The numerous injuries in the Mets rotation, along with Max Scherzer’s suspension, should allow Lucchesi to stick around a while, and potentially earn wins on a strong squad.
  • It’s taking everything I have not to jump back on the Jarren Duran bandwagon. I felt he was one of the most underrated fantasy prospects before last season, but Duran looked lost with the Red Sox when he was given an opportunity to play. There was a clear difference in his readiness in the brief time he played in Spring Training, and that’s carried over to the majors with a hot start. While in a platoon, Duran has clear 20/20 upside and could slide up the batting order in a thin Red Sox lineup if he continues to hit. Still, there should be some concern with his strikeout rate, which has continued at 30% so far.
  • For a catcher fill-in, look no further than Matt Thaiss. The Angel played catcher in college at Virginia but didn’t play a game as a pro until 2021, five years after he was a first-round pick. He could be sit to be a starter for a while, depending on the severity of Logan O’Hoppe’s shoulder injury, and hit a key home run on Saturday. Thaiss’ MLB performance at the plate has been poor overall, hitting only .200-12-24 in 298 career plate appearances, but the minor league stats are quite intriguing. He has a career .838 OPS in over 1,500 plate appearances at Triple-A, and could be a viable second catcher in fantasy leagues.

Los Angeles Angels Prospects 2023

Overall Grade: D+

I really like the top of the Angels farm system, but they’re obviously lacking depth. That’s been a long trend for an organization that’s grown a reputation for skimping at the margins.

Name PosAge Level ETAGradeComments
Logan O'HoppeC22MLB2022A-Likely to be starter, but might need AAA seasoning. Breakout year, solid power and walks.
Zach NetoSS21AA2023A-13th pick, already pushed to AA and performed well.
Chase SilsethSP22MLB2022A-Terrific K/BB, struggled in MLB.
Edgar QueroC19A-2024B+Showing elite bat so far.
Ky BushSP22AA2023B-2nd round pick, decent control.
Robinson PinaSP23AAA2023B-Great K/9, terrible in brief AAA time.
Ryan CosteiuSP21A+2024C+Solid control.
Livan SotoSS22MLB2022C-Good walk rate, pushed from AA.

Fantasy Baseball Catcher Rankings 2023

Updated 01/21/23

Rankings based on 15-team mixed, 2-catcher, standard roto-scoring leagues.

Rating: 1-5, 5 is likely improvement, 1 is likely decline

Status: Sleeper (S), Deep Sleeper (DS), Bust (B)

RankNameLgTeamPosCommentsRatingStatus
1J.T. RealmutoNPHICNo sign of decline. Great in second half, still running well.3
2Daulton VarshoATORCElite OF defense. Doesn't hit ball hard, but showed good BA in minors. 15/11 in second half, great in September.3
3Will SmithNLADCSame batted ball data as 2021 and improved K%. Safe play.3
4Salvador PerezAKCRCBody breaking down. HR% worst since 2018 with chronic thumb injury. Was excellent after returning from injury.3
5Adley RutschmanABALCHigh LA, legit power. Very good after May. 3
6Alejandro KirkATORC11% K, really wore out in second half. Hits to all fields.3
7MJ MelendezAKCRCVery low BA in minors before 2021. Only hit LHP. Good batted ball data and not bad K%. Much more power upside.3
8Keibert RuizNWSNC12% K, .277 xba. High LA. Slightly better in second half. All elements of breakout.4
9William ContrerasNMILCElite power rates, LA isn't great. Didn't play in April, so automatic power growth.4
10Willson ContrerasNSTLCBest contact of career, slowed in 2nd half despite DH.3
11Gabriel MorenoNARICElite BA, should play regularly.3
12Cal RaleighASEACLegit power, played through wrist injury. Promoted in lineup during second half.3
13Tyler StephensonNCINCConcussion, broken thumb, and collarbone. Batted ball data wasn't great, makes him riskier.3
14Sean MurphyNATLCMost games and Abs by far. K% improvement, LA was down.2
15Christian VazquezAMINCEV mostly bounced back but was terrible with Houston.3
16Shea LangeliersAOAKC35% K but not bad at AAA. Elite power potential.3
17Logan O'HoppeALAACBig power and great discipline. Should play regularly.4
18Eric HaaseADETCEV well down. Legit power, dug out for bad start.3
19Christian BethancourtATBRCNo walks, showing good EV. Has shown good power since 2018. Zunino potential.3
20Francisco AlvarezNNYMCElite power, called up to DH in most important series.3
21Endy RodriguezNPITC
22Yan GomesNCHCCImproved contact, EV down.2
23Connor WongABOSCHas real pop. Struggled when he played in September.3
24Danny JansenATORCHR% has increased every year. Extreme LA, not durable.3
25Jose TrevinoANYYCIncreased LA, bad late in year. Probably hit ceiling.3
26Yasmani GrandalACHWCKnee had clear impact, only hit LHP.2
27Travis d'ArnaudNATLCFourth season with 100 games. EV is declining.2B
28Jonah HeimATEXCSame HR% as 2021, elite framing. Struggled in 2nd half.3
29Elias DiazNCOLCHR% back to career norm. Only hit LHP.3
30Bo NaylorACLECOvermatched early. Has solid power potential and will play.3
31Austin NolaNSDPCGood defense. Improved K%, offense tanking.3
32Reese McGuireABOSCGot hot with Boston, milb track record doesn't show upside.3
33Cooper HummelASEAC32% K, modern day Eli Marrero. Has some pop and BA upside.3DS
34Blake SabolNSFGC
35Luis CampusanoNSDPCAnother very solid year at AAA, easy stash.3DS
36Nick FortesNMIACNever hit before last season, but defense could keep him in lineup.3
37Francisco MejiaATBRCDid nothing with extra PT, no HR in second half. Still clearly trying to hit home runs.3
38Joey BartNSFGC39% K. Elite Max EV, extreme LA. Zunino upside.3
39Gary SanchezAFACEasily worst HR% of career. LA was down, EV is good.3
40Sam HuffATEXC32% K, legit power.3DS
41Omar NarvaezNNYMCStill high LA but not hitting ball hard.2
42Kyle HigashiokaANYYCLegit pop, had strong September.3
43Jorge AlfaroABOSCPower mostly back, 36% K. Did nothing in second half.3
44Mike ZuninoACLECThoracic outley, still has cheap power.3
45Ryan JeffersAMINCFractured thumb. Cut K%, power tanked but high LA.3
46Jacob StallingsNMIACComplete decline.2
47Victor CaratiniNMILCHorrible in 2nd half.3
48P.J. HigginsNCHCC
49Carson KellyNARICImproved after injury but was still bad. Pop but not much else.3
50Tom MurphyASEACMajor shoulder injury, should regain some PT.3
51James McCannABALCHamate and oblique injuries, uppercut swing.3
52Brian ServenNCOLCHas shown some pop in milb but not great.2
53Max StassiALAACPoor K% again. Only tool is power, and likely to lose playing time.2
54Korey LeeAHOUCBreakout year with power, not much else.3
55Austin BarnesNLADC
56Martin MaldonadoAHOUCBest HR% of career. Elite defense, should continue to play.3
57Jake RogersADETC
58Matt ThaissALAACHas pop, draws walks. Could stick as catcher.3DS
59Austin WellsANYYC
60Miguel AmayaNCHCC
61Austin HedgesNPITCShouldn't play.2
62Austin WynnsNSFGC
63Luis TorrensAFACK% increase, non-tender could be telling.3
64Rene PintoATBRCAll-or-nothing with legit power. Possibly Zunino3DS
65Manny PinaAOAKC
66Tucker BarnhartNCHCCEV crash. Shouldn't play.2
67Carlos PerezACHWCGrowing pop and great contact. Could be a backup.3
68Seby ZavalaACHWC31% K but breakout performance, has legit pop.3
69Kevin PlaweckiAFAC
70Garrett StubbsNPHIC
71Pedro SeverinoNSDPC
72Curt CasaliNCINC
73Israel PinedaNWSNC
74Riley AdamsNWSNCHas shown a bit of pop in minors.3
75Andrew KniznerNSTLCHit in minors but no sign in MLB.3
76Tomas NidoNNYMCCan't hit.3
77Ronaldo HernándezABOSC
78Ali SanchezNARIC
79Roberto PerezNFACRuptured hamstring. Hard to believe he'd get another shot.2
80Jose HerreraNARIC
81Austin AllenNMIAC
82Luke MaileNCINC
83Ivan HerreraNSTLCSome pop is only tool.3
84Jason DelayNPITCCan't hit.3
85Meibrys ViloriaACLEC
86Anthony BemboomABALC
87Chadwick TrompNATLC