Tag: Joey Lucchesi

The Weekly Planner – 5/1-5/7

sethroto

For the past five-plus years, I’ve contributed The Week Ahead and Impact Report at Rotoworld. Those articles included a look at two-start pitchers, streamers, waiver pickups, and injuries. Many readers planned their week and FAAB deadlines around those articles, so my plan is to contribute something similar weekly throughout the 2023 season in this space.

If there’s something else you’d like to see, please let me know in the comments section.

 

Two Start Pitchers

American League

Strong Plays

Shane McClanahan: PIT, NYY

Joe Ryan: @CHW, @CLE

Logan Gilbert: @OAK, HOU

Yusei Kikuchi: @BOS, @PIT

Jose Berrios: @BOS, @PIT

 

Decent Plays

Luis Garcia: SF, @SEA

Jon Gray: ARI, @LAA

Tyler Wells: @KC, @ATL

Tanner Houck: TOR, @PHI

Corey Kluber: TOR, @PHI

Domingo German: CLE, @TB

Zack Greinke: BAL, OAK

 

At Your Own Risk

Michael Kopech: MIN, @CIN

Michael Lorenzen: NYM, @STL

 

National League

Strong Plays

Zac Gallen: @TEX, WAS

Max Scherzer: @DET, COL

Sandy Alcantara: ATL, @CHC

Drew Smyly: @WAS, MIA

 

Decent Plays

Charlie Morton: @NYM, BAL

Hayden Wesneski: @WAS, MIA

MacKenzie Gore: ChC, @ARI

Roansy Contreras: @TB, TOR

Blake Snell: CIN, LAD

Steven Matz: LAA, DET

Ross Stripling: @HOU, MIL

 

At Your Own Risk

Taijuan Walker: @LAD, BOS

Eric Lauer: @COL, @SF

Luke Weaver: @SD, CHW

Ryan Feltner: MIL, @NYM

 

Streamers

These are pitchers I’m considering as single-start streamers this week in a 12-15 team mixed league that are available in at least 50% of leagues.

American League

Ryan Yarbrough: OAK (5/6)

Ken Waldichuk: @KC (5/7)

 

National League

Michael Wacha: CIN (5/2)

Ryne Nelson: WAS (5/6)

Joey Lucchesi: COL (5/6)

 

Player Notes

  • This is a big week for pitching pickups with arms like Bailey Ober and Tanner Bibee earning rotation spots, while Dodgers top prospect Gavin Stone is also set to make his debut on Wednesday. As mentioned last week, I strongly believe Ober and Bibee are more worthy of big bids than Mason Miller was last week due to a higher innings cap and more competitive teams. Bibee was my favorite pitching prospect in all of baseball coming into the year (as evidenced by my 70%+ ownership share in NFBC Draft Champions leagues), as much for his great stuff as for his polish. Simply put, you won’t find many minor league pitchers with a career K/BB ratio above 5.00, and that ratio was actually above 6.00 last season. Bibee has also been relatively durable, including 132.2 innings last season, so he should have some leeway to pitch major innings with Cleveland this year. Even when Triston McKenzie returns, the Guardians should be able to make room for Bibee in the starting rotation with the way Zach Plesac has struggled. Bibee is the closest thing you will find to a Spencer Strider addition in 2023, and I’d be aggressive in FAAB bidding.
  • Ober can be a good fallback option with Kenta Maeda going down with more arm issues. The reported Spring velocity increase hasn’t held early in his MLB numbers, but Ober has been excellent in two starts, nonetheless. I’m a big Ober fan because of his elite control, with a career BB/9 below 2.0, and he also proved last season that he could keep the ball in the park. It’s often difficult for tall pitchers like Ober to show consistency due to mechanical issues, but Ober hasn’t shown any issues in his career.
  • Another fallback option with long-term upside is Dane Dunning, who is the assumed replacement for Jacob deGrom in the Rangers rotation. Those fantasy managers who bought into the Dunning Experience last season will likely shy away, but it should be noted that he pitched hurt with a hip injury that was surgically repaired in the offseason. The previous two seasons showed breakout potential with a sub-4.00 FIP in his first two MLB seasons and well above average groundball rates. Dunning hasn’t been missing bats early this season as a reliever, throwing his cutter more often, though that’s also over a small sample size of innings. Dunning might not earn a start in the coming week with Texas looking at two off-days, but I like the potential as a stash.
  • There’s some hype over the promotion of Rockies outfielder Brenton Doyle. While Doyle is athletically gifted and strong defensively, I find the hype to be puzzling. Doyle was barely on the prospect radar before this season in large park to his high strikeout rate, including 171 strikeouts in 548 plate appearances last season. He was also a 20/20 man during that time, but Doyle has shown very poor on-base ability. He did hit .306 in 12 games at Triple-A prior to the call-up this year, but Doyle is already 25 and the longer track record shows that performance to be a fluke. He has a path to playing time, though it should be remembered how hesitant Bud Black and the Rockies organization are to give young players opportunities over the years (Elehuris Montero, cough, cough).
  • The Cardinals are riding the hot hand in their lineup with Paul DeJong becoming a regular since his promotion to the majors. Before getting ahead of ourselves, remember that DeJong is a historically streaky hitter. We only need to look to his promotion in late July of last year for proof. DeJong hit .333-4-13 in his first 10 games. He hit .120-1-5 the rest of the way (43 games). If you’re rostering Tommy Edman and worried, I wouldn’t be too scared.

The Weekly Planner – 4/24-4/30

sethroto

For the past five-plus years, I’ve contributed The Week Ahead and Impact Report at Rotoworld. Those articles included a look at two-start pitchers, streamers, waiver pickups, and injuries. Many readers planned their week and FAAB deadlines around those articles, so my plan is to contribute something similar weekly throughout the 2023 season in this space.

If there’s something else you’d like to see, please let me know in the comments section.

 

Two Start Pitchers

American League

Strong Plays

Joe Ryan: NYY, KC

Chris Sale: @BAL, CLE

Sonny Gray: NYY, KC

Nestor Cortes: @MIN, @TEX

Logan Gilbert: @PHI, @TOR

Drew Rasmussen: HOU, @CHW

 

Decent Plays

Kyle Bradish: BOS, @DET

Taj Bradley: HOU, @CHW

Lance Lynn: @TOR, TB

Jose Urquidy: @TB, PHI

Brady Singer: @ARI, @MIN

Nathan Eovaldi: @CIN, NYY

Martin Perez: @CIN, NYY

Matthew Boyd: @MIL, BAL

Brad Keller: @ARI, @MIN

Chris Bassitt: CHW, SEA

 

At Your Own Risk

Jose Suarez: OAK, @MIL

Jhony Brito: @MIN, @TEX

Mike Clevinger: @TOR, TB

Ken Waldichuk: @LAA, CIN

Dean Kremer: BOS, @DET

Spencer Turnbull: @MIL, BAL

 

National League

Strong Plays

Spencer Strider: MIA, @NYM

Nick Lodolo: TEX, @OAK

Justin Steele: SD, @MIA

 

Decent Plays

Sandy Alcantara: @ATL, CHC

Alex Cobb: STL, @SD

Charlie Morton: MIA, @NYM

Jordan Montgomery: @SF, @LAD

Jose Oviedo: LAD, @WAS

Noah Syndergaard: @PIT, STL

Josiah Gray: @NYM, PIT

Edward Cabrera: @ATL, CHC

Bailey Falter: SEA, @HOU

 

At Your Own Risk

Colin Rea: DET, LAA

Tommy Henry: KC, @COL

Austin Gomber: @CLE, ARI

 

Streamers

These are pitchers I’m considering as single-start streamers this week in a 12-15 team mixed league that are available in at least 50% of leagues.

American League

Griffin Canning: OAK (4/25)

 

National League

Ryne Nelson: KC (4/25)

Eric Lauer: DET (4/25)

Steven Matz: @SF (4/26)

Joey Lucchesi: WAS (4/27)

Rich Hill: @WAS (4/28)

 

Player Notes

  • Oakland youngster Mason Miller was the talk of the week, as the suddenly top prospect was promoted by the A’s and had an excellent first outing against the Cubs while hitting triple-digits on the radar gun. It was be an interesting FAAB showdown for his services, with big upside but also some short-term red flags. Miller has only thrown 28.2 minor league innings, due in part to injuries, but he’s been spectacular over that time with 53/6 K/BB in 28.2 innings. The former third-round pick will likely have his innings heavily limited this season due to the injury history and throwing only 14 innings all of last season. He also won’t win many games with a conservative pitch count and a horrific supporting cast in Oakland. Though, the upside is undeniable, especially in keeper leagues. However, for redraft leagues I’d strongly prefer to wait on a Bailey Ober or prospect with a higher innings cap like Tanner Bibee.
  • The other Logan Allen is set to make his MLB debut today, with Cleveland in dire position due to starting rotation injuries. Allen has plenty of minor league season after being drafted in 2020 out of college, and has bounced back nicely in three starts at Triple-A Columbus early this season after struggling in 14 starts last year. Despite his past struggles, Allen has consistently missed bats with an 11.8 K/9 for his pro career and 12.6 K/9 this season, The only big question is how his control will fare, as it’s been far from perfect as he’s moved up (3.5 BB/9 last season, 3.1 BB/9) this year. The lefty also has a short leash with Bibee and a host of other interesting arms waiting in the wings, but there is certainly potential for Allen to be a difference maker this season.
  • He’s far less romantic, but Joey Lucchesi could be an interesting find. The veteran left-hander is back from Tommy John surgery, and threw seven scoreless innings in his start last week. We shouldn’t forget what’s been a pretty solid track record from the soft-tosser, with a career 4.24 ERA and 9.3 K/9 for his career between San Diego and the Mets. The numerous injuries in the Mets rotation, along with Max Scherzer’s suspension, should allow Lucchesi to stick around a while, and potentially earn wins on a strong squad.
  • It’s taking everything I have not to jump back on the Jarren Duran bandwagon. I felt he was one of the most underrated fantasy prospects before last season, but Duran looked lost with the Red Sox when he was given an opportunity to play. There was a clear difference in his readiness in the brief time he played in Spring Training, and that’s carried over to the majors with a hot start. While in a platoon, Duran has clear 20/20 upside and could slide up the batting order in a thin Red Sox lineup if he continues to hit. Still, there should be some concern with his strikeout rate, which has continued at 30% so far.
  • For a catcher fill-in, look no further than Matt Thaiss. The Angel played catcher in college at Virginia but didn’t play a game as a pro until 2021, five years after he was a first-round pick. He could be sit to be a starter for a while, depending on the severity of Logan O’Hoppe’s shoulder injury, and hit a key home run on Saturday. Thaiss’ MLB performance at the plate has been poor overall, hitting only .200-12-24 in 298 career plate appearances, but the minor league stats are quite intriguing. He has a career .838 OPS in over 1,500 plate appearances at Triple-A, and could be a viable second catcher in fantasy leagues.

Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Rankings 2023

sethroto

Updated 01/22/23

Rankings based on 15-team mixed, standard roto-scoring leagues.

Rating: 1-5, 5 is likely improvement, 1 is likely decline

Status: Sleeper (S), Deep Sleeper (DS), Bust (B)

RankPlayerLGTeamPosCommentsRatingStatus
1Corbin BurnesNMILSPK/9 regression of last two months but still elite, cutter is best pitch in baseball.3
2Gerrit ColeANYYSPElite in consecutive years, still having HR issues. Very safe.3
3Aaron NolaNPHISPPerfect control, pitched better than ERA. Not GB pitcher anymore but probably safest on the board.4
4Max ScherzerNNYMSPVelo declined very slightly three consecutive years with K rate. Best control of career. Still has innings upside.3
5Jacob deGromATEXSPK/BB identical to 2021 but had HR issues. Velo down slightly but not much.3
6Kevin GausmanATORSPMore sliders, ridiculous control. Due better luck with BABIP.4
7Spencer StriderNATLSPBetter k/BB as SP, elite velo. Missed time with oblique. ERA should have been even better. Innings cap likely.4
8Carlos RodonANYYSPMaintained velo. Elite minus durability.3
9Shane McClanahanATBRSPElite control. Wore down late, particularly September. Adds some risk.2
10Brandon WoodruffNMILSPSame as usual. Safe other than health.3
11Zac GallenNARISPAdded velo, all plus pitches. Ridiculous second half. Looks like ace but slightly overachieved.3
12Justin VerlanderNNYMSPVelo excellent despite K/9 decline. HR success a bit fluky.3
13Shohei OhtaniALAASPHuge velo increase and throwing more sliders. Reflected in dominant K/BB. Possibly better pitcher than hitter.3
14Sandy AlcantaraNMIASPOnly difference was vastly improved changeup. ERA metrics only slightly improved, and K rate dropped. Obvious regression.2
15Zack WheelerNPHISPVelo and GB rate down. Was back in the playoffs. Injuries are only concern.3
16Luis CastilloASEASPNo longer GB pitcher, FB was elite. Juiced ball would be more risky.3
17Shane BieberACLESPVelo worst of career by far. Saved by cutter. Doesn't have previous upside.3
18Yu DarvishNSDPSPIP/GS easily best of career, sub-2.0 BB/9 again. Velo has been up for three years. HR still concerning if live ball returns.3
19Max FriedNATLSPBig control improvement, improved changeup that he threw more. Very safe pitcher.4
20Tyler GlasnowATBRSPLooks all the way back. Durability still a concern.3
21Dylan CeaseACHWSPPeripherals worse than 2021, throwing more sliders. Elite pitch. Likely regression to mid-3 ERA.2
22Joe MusgroveNSDPSPElite control again, has reached ceiling.3
23Cristian JavierAHOUSPFixed control, especially in second half.3
24Framber ValdezAHOUSP67% GB, huge velo increase. Finger and hand injuries in 2021. Only risk is workload.3
25Chris SaleABOSSPFluke injuries. Velo was very good in two starts.4S
26Logan WebbNSFGSP57% GB, velo declined from 2021. Safe but limited upside if velo doesn't return.3
27George KirbyASEASPBieber clone though non-fastballs are mediocre. Threw 156 IP.3
28Robbie RayASEASPLost a bit of velo from 2022, reflected in performance. Has been durable recently.3
29Clayton KershawNLADSPChronic back problems. Adjusted breaking pitches with success.3
30Logan GilbertASEASPAdded velo but not strikeouts. At his ceiling unless offspeed pitches improve.3
31Julio UriasNLADSPVelo down, K rate down. Clear regression pending.2B
32Brady SingerAKCRSPSlider improved, showed elite control. Not much room for growth but safe buy.3
33Drew RasmussenATBRSPAdded dominant cutter. 6.30 K/BB in second half. No longer GB pitcher and limited ceiling, but super safe and surging.4
34Jordan MontgomeryNSTLSPAdded control again, added strikeouts with STL. Very safe buy.4
35Nick LodoloNCINSPGB rate mediocre, got on track after injury. 2.92 ERA in second half. Limited workload still huge concern.3
36Lance LynnACHWSPKnee surgery, velo down. Elite control, easily best of career. Incredible over last two months.5S
37Blake SnellNSDPSPBest velo of career, slider was great. Awesome control after the break. Still not durable.3
38Charlie MortonNATLSPHR% spikes with FB. Pitched better after April struggles.3
39Jeffrey SpringsATBRSPVelo down as SP, changeup was elite. Even better in second half. HR spike possible with FB rate.3
40Alek ManoahATORSPElite control, had some issues missing bats. Regression very likely if it doesn't improve.2
41Joe RyanAMINSPAdded velo, extreme FB bit him. Got back on track after mediocre June and July. Has ability for better control performance.3
42Triston McKenzieACLESPElite control, two great pitches. Got better in second half. Some injury risk.3
43Kyle WrightNATLSP56% GB, velo rebound, trashed slider. Heavily threw excellent curveball. Safe mid-3's ERA.3
44Garrett WhitlockABOSSPHad hip surgery. Definite SP. Great control and huge upside.4S
45Alex CobbNSFGSPHuge increase in velo, 59% GB. An ace but health is huge concern.4S
46Chris BassittATORSPLooking more durable and consistent control. More sliders and curveballs, K/9 down in 2nd half.3
47Reid DetmersALAASP3.04 ERA, 3/1 K/BB after demotion. Looks elite.4S
48Marcus StromanNCHCSPHad elbow issue, bounced back fine. Same as usual.3
49Nestor CortesANYYSPAdded velo, ERA metrics above 3.3
50Hunter GreeneNCINSPExtreme FB rate is concerning in CIN. Ridiculously good late in year after returning from shoulder.3
51Aaron AshbyNMILSP57% GB, mediocre control as SP. ERA metrics show clear sub-4.00 ERA, but control prevents going all-in.4S
52Patrick SandovalALAASPMore sliders, excellent pitch. Mediocre control but got better late. HR rate likely to regress.3
53Alex WoodNSFGSPAdded velo, mid-3's ERA metrics. Ended season with shoulder.4
54Lucas GiolitoACHWSPVelo well down, ERA metrics still showed upper 3's ERA.3
55Adbert AlzolayNCHCSPPitched out of the pen in September and was dominant. Missed most of season with shoulder. Excellent sleeper.4S
56Dustin MayNLADSPBack injury. Velo and GB rate looked good, but struggled with control. Was great in minors.4
57Luis SeverinoANYYSPVelo mostly returned, secondary stuff not as good as previous. Missed time with shoulder injury.3
58Jameson TaillonNCHCSPAdded cutter, elite control again. Would benefit outside of NYY. Injury history somewhat concerning.3
59Kyle BradishABALSPFixed control in minors. 3.28 ERA in 2nd half. FB was mediocre but good velo. 4 ERA likely.4
60Pablo LopezAMINSPFirst time he's stayed healthy. Not dominant anymore. ERA near 5 in second half.3
61Kenta MaedaAMINSP
62Tyler MahleAMINSPShoulder problems, tried to pitch through shoulder late. Velo down a bit, getting out of CiN should help.3
63Andrew HeaneyATEXSPChronic arm and HR problems. Best velo of career, more sliders.3
64Jon GrayATEXSPAdded velo, HR problems. ERA metrics slightly better than results.3
65Grayson RodriguezABALSP
66Jose SuarezALAASPAdded slider, was plus pitch. Got on a roll in second half with 1.5 BB/9 due to plus pitch.4S
67Sean ManaeaNSFGSPBecame extreme FB pitcher, changeup was terrible. Especially bad in second half.3
68Zach EflinATBRSPVelo still down but showing elite control, pitched well as RP late in year.3
69Steven MatzNSTLSPChronic injuries, finished year healthy. Elite K/BB and velo looked good.4S
70Hunter BrownAHOUSPElite GB, nearly perfect in relief. Control still concerning, but blue chip if SP.4S
71Jose BerriosATORSPVelo was fine, K rate way down and worse in 2nd half. Getting killed by LH.3
72Nathan EovaldiATEXSPVelo falling in consecutive years but still good. HRs and injuries are concerning.2
73Andrew PainterNPHISP
74Braxton GarrettNMIASPAdded velo, more sliders. Looks legit. Very limited innings for career.3
75Bailey OberAMINSPGroin injury, lost a touch of velo. Elite control, HR% unlikely to continue with high FB. Scott Baker clone. Innings likely limited.4S
76Freddy PeraltaNMILSPShoulder issues. Velo was down, K rate way down in second half. Very risky.3B
77Jesus LuzardoNMIASPAdded velo, changeup was dominant pitch. More elbow problems/injury concerns.3
78Merrill KellyNARISPAdded velo but overachieved.2
79Carlos CarrascoNNYMSPVelo well down from peak and worst since rookie season. ERA metrics are better, but significant injury risk.2
80Brayan BelloABOSSPElite GB rate, 2.59 ERA in September but WHIP was ugly. Elite K rates in minors.4S
81Ken WaldichukAOAKSPGreat milb track record, impressive K/9 in minors. Good K/BB and finished strong.4
82David PetersonNNYMSPAdded velo, 10.9 K/9 as SP. Control issues but has big upside if healthy.3
83Eric LauerNMILSPAdded velo in consecutive seasons. Overcame elbow issue late. Mediocre ERA metrics due to HR issues, but mostly corrected in second half.3
84Tony GonsolinNLADSPVelo is down, but all offspeed were plus plus. Durability still in question and not great K rates.2
85Spencer TurnbullADETSP
86Justin SteeleNCHCSP51% GB, excellent slider. Slider still shaky and had back issues.3
87Jose QuintanaNNYMSPNo clear difference other than HRs. Very risky buy.2B
88Ross StriplingNSFGSPMore changeups, elite control. HR rate was lucky, and last year was clear upside.3
89Ranger SuarezNPHISP55% GB, added more pitches. Control better in second half but wasn't great.3
90Sonny GrayAMINSPVelo continuing to fall, reflected in K rate.2
91Bailey FalterNPHISPElite control but HR problems. Can overcome if 2nd half control continues.4S
92Matt BrashASEASP52% GB, mostly sliders. Very good in 2nd half as RP but still had control issues.3
93Miles MikolasNSTLSPComplete bounceback. Pitched a bit over his head, and still bad injury history.2B
94Tanner HouckABOSSPGood GB, back injury late in year. K rate dropped. Certainly limited innings.3
95Tyler AndersonALAASPImprovement from adjusted changeup, K/BB nearly same as 2021. Huge benefit from dejuiced ball.2B
96Martin PerezATEXSPGB rate up to 51%, K/BB the same. More likely high-3's ERA.3
97Trevor RogersNMIASPVelo was fine, command not as good. Back and lat injuries. K/BB was much better in five second half starts.3
98Frankie MontasANYYSPVery good before trade. Shoulder issues and down K rate in NY. Risky with park.3
99Roansy ContrerasNPITSPCommand issues in MLB, has much more upside than what he showed. Likely low innings cap.3
100Cody MorrisACLESPDominant in minors, huge K rates. All offspeed pitches are plus.4S
101Lance McCullers Jr.AHOUSPVelo and GB rate were down after return. Reason to question health.2B
102Aaron CivaleACLESPThree IL stints, elite in eight starts during 2nd half. ERA metrics sub-4 ERA but risk due to injuries and HRs.4DS
103Adam WainwrightNSTLSPVelo down more, identified mechanical issues that killed K/9 but still down slightly.3
104Cole IrvinAOAKSPElite control, nearly a repeat. Benefiting from home ballpark.3
105Tarik SkubalADETSPMore sliders, got HR problems in check. Midseason return from flexor.3
106JT BrubakerNPITSPVery good K/BB, but no effective pitches. 4 ERA metrics but reason for skepticism.3
107Kyle MullerAOAKSPFixed control at AAA but not in MLB. Added velo, has interesting upside.3DS
108Jakob JunisNSFGSPNow throwing sinkers and changeups. Fixed HR issues? Struggled late in year, ERA metrics show sub-4 ERA.4
109Taijuan WalkerNPHISPMore cutters and splitters added to GB rate. Minimal upside with K rate and history of durability issues.3
110Noah SyndergaardNLADSPVelo and K rate crashed. Not GB pitcher anymore.2
111Kodai SengaANYMSP
112Kyle GibsonABALSPVelo and GB rate has tanked. Throwing more offspeed, though ERA metrics were league average.3
113Yusei KikuchiATORSPTrashed cutter, threw slider harder. Velo was fine but no control.3
114Edward CabreraNMIASPChangeup most used and best pitch, control shaky but improved in second half. .207 BABIP.3
115Clarke SchmidtANYYSPVelo mostly bounced back, new slider that was excellent pitch. Dominant at AAA, better control in second half. Big upside.4S
116Eduardo RodriguezADETSPVelo down overall, was all over the place. Not a great risk until seeing how he does in ST.2
117Matthew BoydADETSPReturned from flexor tendon, velo was fine. Brutal control in small sample size.3DS
118Corey KluberABOSSPElite control. Velo way down, throwing cutters now.3
119Michael WachaAFASPLost some velo, new cutter looks good. Still has HR problems and K/9 is bad.2
120Anthony DeSclafaniNSFGSPVelo was well down, ankle surgery. Still showed elite control.3
121MacKenzie GoreNWSNSPElite in first two months until elbow gave out. Healthy at end of season.3S
122Trevor BauerNFASP
123JP SearsAOAKSPInconsistent, hasn't missed bats. Slider and changeup both plus pitches, and showed very good milb control.3
124Drew SmylyNCHCSPVelo up slightly, more curveballs and cutters. Great in second half, still risky due to injuries.3
125Nick MartinezNSDPSPWants back in the rotation, mediocre command as SP. 3
126Jose UrquidyAHOUSPVelo rebound, still major HR issues.3
127Brandon PfaadtNARISP
128DL HallABALSPPitched well in relief, likely long term role.3
129John MeansABALSPHad TJS in April, BAL could correct HR issues. Elite control.4
130Tylor MegillNNYMSPVelo increase, was an ace early before arm problems. Long injury history.3
131Yonny ChirinosATBRSPVelo looked good after elbow. Cheap innings.3DS
132Luis OrtizNPITSPSome struggles at AA. Elite velo and solid K/BB. Probably gets more time at AAA.3
133Mitch KellerNPITSPSolid velo increase and added sinker. Improvements in control and GB rate.3
134Dane DunningATEXSP53% GB but velo down again. Hip and ankle injuries. Some upside but needs velo jump.3
135Nick PivettaABOSSPVelo and K rate down. HR problems continue.3
136Jack FlahertyNSTLSPChronic shoulder problems, poor command.3
137Gavin StoneNLADSP
138Joey LucchesiNNYMSP
139Taylor HearnATEXSPRP to end year and was much better.3
140Josh WinderAMINSPExtreme FB, had shoulder issues. Scott Baker potential, very good breaking pitches.3DS
141Paul BlackburnAOAKSPVelo up slightly, GB only 47%. Effective curveball. Finger injury.2
142Andre PallanteNSTLSP64% GB. Good slider but doesn't miss bats. Solid end game add.3DS
143Matt ManningADETSPForearm issue but was healthy by end of year. Command has improved but trouble missing bats.3
144Kyle HarrisonNSFGSP
145Danny DuffyNFASP
146Hayden WesneskiNCHCSPShowed solid control, three plus pitches. Middle of the rotation SP.3
147Cal QuantrillACLESPLucky in consecutive years, ERA should be over 4.2B
148Drey JamesonNARISPGood in debut, had strong K/BB but lousy performance in minors. Good GB rate but risky.3
149Johan OviedoNPITSPBig velo increase, a lot of sliders. Control is a problem, but becoming more interesting.3DS
150Dean KremerABALSPNew cutter and more changeups. Cutter graded well but not missing bats.2
151Zach PlesacACLESPVelo down, still having HR issues. No upside.3
152Chase SilsethALAASPRushed to MLB. Plus velo and milb K rates. HR problems.3
153Jake OdorizziATEXSPHR issues with Braves. More cutters. Still a league average pitcher but durability issues three straight years.3
154Kutter CrawfordABOSSPAdded velo, major HR issues. K/BB shows potential.3
155Bryce ElderNATLSPDoesn't miss a lot of bats, but GB near 50%. Outstanding after initial struggles.3DS
156Domingo GermanANYYSPLost velo after shoulder, FIP was much higher.2
157Austin VothABALSPMore cutters and curveballs, bigger park really helped. Limited upside but looks like legit 4 ERA pitcher.3
158Michael KopechACHWSPVelo and K rate down. Claimed knee problems since June.3
159Louie VarlandAMINSPStrong milb track record, K/BB looked good but HR a concern.3
160Tyler WellsABALSPNot missing bats with velo issues as SP. HR issues, comparable to Urquidy.3
161Connor SeaboldABOSSPGood milb track record. Nice control potential, but FB rate is concerning.3
162Rich HillNPITSPMore offspeed, curveball starting to deteriorate.2
163Tanner BibeeACLESP
164Cole RagansATEXSPCommand started to show late, solid milb track record but more of a middle of the rotation pitcher.3
165Daniel LynchAKCRSPNo plus pitches. Continued control and HR issues. Control improved in second half.3
166Thad WardNWSNSP
167Mike SorokaNATLSP
168Josiah GrayNWSNSPHorrendous HR issues, control still a big problem. Showed much better control in minors.3
169Graham AshcraftNCINSPStruggled with control at AAA, but has otherwise been good. 55% GB, not right after return from bicep in September. Needs another pitch.3
170Garrett HillADETSPDidn't miss bats, but milb track record is excellent.4
171Ryan PepiotNLADSPPlus arm, really misses bats. Control and HR issues.3
172Ryne NelsonNARISPExtreme FB is concerning but has plus stuff. Elbow and shoulder injuries. Mediocre at AAA but good below that level.3
173Mitch WhiteATORSPMess in Toront, though ERA metrics were around 4 ERA.4
174Mike ClevingerACHWSPVelo down to 2018 level, slider was bad. Decline over last two months.2
175Cade CavalliNWSNSPShoulder injury, had control issues at AAA but generally solid.3
176Taj BradleyATBRSP
177James KaprielianAOAKSPBizarre trends. Added velo, K rate tanked. Slight improvement in second half. Injury history still a red flag.2
178Freddy TarnokAOAKSPBig arm. Control issues, decent at missing bats.3
179Angel ZerpaAKCRSPPlus velo and GB rate. K/BB was solid. Season ending with elbow injury.3DS
180Zack GreinkeAFASPChangeup has become crap, no strikeouts.3
181Keegan ThompsonNCHCSPMore HR and control issues, finished season in pen.3
182Simeon Woods RichardsonAMINSPNice debut, control back on track. Doesn't have much velo.3
183Chris FlexenASEASPVelo down, K rate was terrible.2
184Kolby AllardNATLSPMediocre year at AAA but missed bats. Not enough velo.3
185Shintaro FujinamiAOAKSP
186Griffin CanningALAASP
187Joe RossNFASP
188Bobby MillerNLADSP
189Jordan LylesAKCRSPVelo down significantly. Only difference was HR improvement with home park.2
190Elieser HernandezNNYMSPStill good K/BB but can't keep ball in park.3
191Kris BubicAKCRSPRidiculous .352 BABIP but made no progress, minor league history still shows a lot of upside.3DS
192Luis PatinoATBRSPVelo was down but good at AAA. Still a lot of time, but needs to fix control.3
193German MarquezNCOLSPVelo bounced back but GB crashed. Strikeout issues are red flag.2
194Josh FlemingATBRSPElite GB rate and control potential.3DS
195Drew RucinskiAOAKSP
196Vince VelasquezNPITSP
197Wade MileyNMILSPVelo consistently falling but decent GB rate. Chronic shoulder.3
198Ian AndersonNATLSPVelo down slightly, control was terrible. Doesn't look close to rebound.3
199James PaxtonABOSSP
200Paolo EspinoNWSNSPBrutal in 2nd half, 6 ERA as SP.2
201Jose ButtoNNYMSPSolid year, very good milb track record but has HR problems.3
202Beau BrieskeADETSPGreat control and changeup, missed more bats in the minors. HR issues are a big problem. Healthy from forearm at end of season. Scott Baker clone?3
203Joey WentzADETSPControl remains a concern, but showed improvement at AAA.3
204Dylan BundyAFASPAveraged less than 5 IP, velo way down. 5th SP at best.3
205Michael LorenzenADETSPMore injuries, more offspeed. Command is ugly.3
206Stephen StrasburgNWSNSPThoracic outlet and nerve issue. Just a 50th rounder.3
207Luis GilANYYSPHad TJS, can miss bats.3
208Marco GonzalesASEASPAll offspeed, terrible K rates.2B
209Adrian SampsonNCHCSPGood control but not missing bats. Possibly sticks as fifth SP.3
210Johnny CuetoNMIASPK rate tanked, more sinkers but success not supported by metrics.2B
211Sean HjelleNSFGSPExtreme GB, missed more bats in MLB and milb. Definite 5th starter ability.3DS
212Robert GasserNMILSP
213Eury PerezNMIASP
214Adrian MartínezAOAKSP
215Reiver SanmartinNCINSPDecent GB rate, terrible velo. Showed much better control before 2022.3
216Hunter GaddisACLESPExtreme FB pitcher with HR problems. Great milb K rates. Some upside.3
217Hunter GaddisACLESPExtreme FB pitcher with HR problems. Great milb K rates. Some upside.3
218Wilmer FloresADETSP
219Daniel CastanoNMIASPNew cutter, had labrum tear.3
220Ryan YarbroughAKCRSPVelo well down over last two years. Control much worse last year. Oblique issues.2
221Michael PinedaAFASPElite control, but velo and K rate has tanked in consecutive years.2
222Ethan SmallNMILSPFormer first round pick with nice K rate but awful control. Not great velo.3
223Michael PlassmeyerNPHISP
224Bruce ZimmermannABALSPLost velo, showed great control. Limited upside.3
225Nick NeidertNCHCSPExcellent rebound season, great control.3DS
226Mason MontgomeryATBRSP
227Bryce MillerASEASP
228Spencer HowardATEXSPMore sliders but pitch was terrible, struggling with control in minors. No sign of breakout.3
229Alex FaedoADETSPDidn't look good, but has very good milb track record with elite control.3DS
230Cole HenryNWSNSP
231Logan AllenACLESP
232Mike BaumannABALSPSwingman, struggled as SP late in the year. Showing good GB rate and velo.3
233Dakota HudsonNSTLSPVelo well down, 53% GB, brutal command and didn't miss bats.2
234Matthew LiberatoreNSTLSPHR problems and average stuff.3
235Zack KellyABOSSP
236Sixto SanchezNMIASP
237Mike MinorNFASPShoulder issues, velo was down and K rate tanked. Wrong part for his skillset.3
238Patrick CorbinNWSNSPGood velo, slider is completely gone. ERA metrics not that bad.3
239Madison BumgarnerNARISPVelo bounced back, slider has been terrible. Same issues as Corbin.3
240Mick AbelNPHISP
241Cole HamelsNFASP
242Brad KellerAKCRSPMissed bats in relief, GB rate is back. Could stick as RP.3
243Adrian HouserNMILSP59% GB, velo was fine. Poor control.3
244Davis MartinACHWSPNever had success but missed bats in minors.3
245Michael GroveNLADSPBreakout year, has always shown good K rates.3
246Zach DaviesNARISPVelo rebound, changeup was good. League average again.3
247Bryse WilsonNPITSPShowed some improvement late in the year. K rate still too ugly.3
248Jonathan HeasleyAKCRSPHasn't missed bats in MLB, good K rates in minors.3
249Austin GomberNCOLSPLosing velo every year, RP in second half.3
250Caleb KilianNCHCSPGood GB rate, control tanked. Needs to repeat AAA.3
251Kyle HendricksNCHCSPShoulder problems, curveball has been ineffective in consecutive years. HR issues.2
252Brandon WilliamsonNCINSP
253Janson JunkNMILSPExcellent control since 2021 and a good development team. Has some upside.3DS
254Josh WinckowskiABOSSP52% GB, didn't miss bats in MLB.3
255Brett AndersonNFASP
256Glenn OttoATEXSPFound control in September, but still not missing bats. Has momentum for rotation spot.3
257Konnor PilkingtonACLESPMediocre control, doesn't have a plus pitch. Likely regression.2
258Kyle FreelandNCOLSPVelo well down, not clear how he was better.2
259Jason AlexanderNMILSPExtreme GB pitcher who can't miss bats.3
260Chad KuhlNFASPVelo worst of career.2
261Zach ThompsonNPITSPNo plus pitches, poor command.2
262Tyler AlexanderADETSPK rate plunged. Changeup has been ineffective. Clear 5th SP.3
263Noah DavisNCOLSPCould get some starts.3
264Max CastilloAKCRSPControl issues, mediocre stuff.3
265Luis CessaNCINSPDecent as SP, fewer sliders. Pitching to contact. Minimal upside.3
266Connor OvertonNCINSP
267Tommy HenryNARISPMajor control issues, doesn't have great stuff.3
268Julio TeheranAFASP
269Antonio SenzatelaNCOLSPSame as usual, torn ACL in August.3
270Chris ArcherAFASPSlight velo rebound but still well down. Never threw more than 5 IP.3
271Adam OllerAOAKSPDecent milb track record, but never got outs in MLB.3
272Quinn PriesterNPITSP
273Tucker DavidsonALAASPHorrible control in MLB, still shows milb upside.3
274Jay GroomeNSDPSP
275Carlos HernandezAKCRSPStill elite velo, doesn't miss enough bats.3
276Cory AbbottNWSNSPHas shown decent K rates in minors. No control and HR issues.3
277Connor PhillipsNCINSP
278Javier AssadNCHCSPSudden K improvement at AAA, mediocre velo and command in MLB.2
279Spenser WatkinsABALSPNew cutter, still no upside.2
280Ryan WeathersNSDPSP
281Joan AdonNWSNSPGood velo, horrendous control at all levels.3
282Ryan FeltnerNCOLSPVelo increase, slider was good.3
283Peter LambertNCOLSP
284Justin DunnNCINSPVelo down, terrible command. More shoulder problems.3
285Jose UrenaNCOLSP50% GB, doesn't miss bats.3